U.S. Gold Reserve Strategy
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- July 29, 2025
In recent weeks, the gold market has attracted a myriad of fringe ideas, one of which has garnered attention on Wall Street: the notion that the United States should reassess its gold reservesThis unconventional thought has provoked a range of opinions among economic advisors and market participants alike, raising questions about the implications of such a move.
Although informed sources suggest that senior economic advisors in the U.S. are not seriously considering this idea, speculation remains rife following comments made by U.STreasury Secretary Scott Behnke on February 3rdHe hinted at the possibility of "monetizing assets on the U.S. balance sheet" and establishing a sovereign wealth fund, sparking curiosity regarding a potential reassessment of the value of U.S. gold reserves.
This re-evaluation could signify a substantial shift in how the U.S. government perceives its gold holdingsThere is a growing belief that the Treasury might reconsider its gold reserves and link them at a higher value, a strategy that would provide the government with an immediate influx of cash—something it desperately seeks to enhance operational efficiencyEssentially, the push would be to upgrade the valuation of U.S. gold reserves from the longstanding official price of $42 per ounce, which dates back to 1973, to current market values that hover around $3,000 per ounceThis adjustment could potentially allow the Treasury to monetize approximately $750 billion in suddenly increased asset value, thereby mitigating the immediate need for bond issuance.
However, it's crucial to note that any such move would likely require congressional approvalUnlike most other nations, where gold reserves are typically held by central banks, the United States government directly owns its gold holdingThe Federal Reserve retains gold certificates that correspond to the value of the assets held by the U.STreasury, which repay the government in dollars.
Currently, based on the official price of $42 per ounce, these certificates represent a value of only $11 billion for the U.S
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TreasuryHowever, with recent gold prices reaching new heights—approaching $3,000 per ounce—valuing U.S. government gold at current market rates could surpass $760 billion, thus presenting a windfall for finances that many analysts are keen to explore.
In light of the increasingly complex economic landscape, the strategy regarding the United States' gold reserves has become a contentious topic of discussionStephen Milan from the White House Economic Advisors has made waves with his proposals not just to reassess the gold reserves but also to consider liquidating portions of the inventoryIn a report published in November, Milan detailed how converting gold into dollars and then into foreign currency might bolster “underestimated” currencies, aligning with the government's economic management aspirationsFurthermore, he posited that replacing the interest-free gold assets with foreign government bonds could create new streams of revenue, potentially alleviating fiscal pressuresDespite its theoretical attractiveness, this notion faces significant practical obstacles, including political opposition and the potential disruption to global gold prices.
Milan noted that although the legalities may allow the sale of national gold reserves for the acquisition of foreign exchange instruments, the political costs could be steepSelling even a fraction of the 8,133 tonnes of gold held by the U.S. could have a detrimental impact on gold prices worldwide.
In a report by Nikki Sheils, research and metal strategy head at MKS Pamp SA, the suggestion of revaluing U.S. gold reserves is framed as something that only requires Congressional approval, making it "technically feasible." Sheils also expressed concerns, stating that while a strengthening dollar would bolster gold's standing domestically and internationally, selling off those reserves to seed a new sovereign wealth fund could be "extremely bearish" for gold prices.
CreditSights' Zachary Griffiths added another layer to the discussion, stating that while re-evaluating gold reserves could be viable if debt becoming an issue, the U.S. is indeed grappling with an ongoing deficit dilemma
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